What are the odds of pulling a secret in Crybaby Tears Factory?

The secret sits in the commonly published 1/144 class for this format — roughly a 8.0% chance of at least one secret across 12 boxes. Ratios are printed per series and wave on official packaging, so always verify the ratio on the current box before buying.

How many figures are in the Tears Factory series?

12 regular figures plus a secret tier. Completing the regular set from blind singles takes about 37 boxes on average (coupon-collector math at even odds); a sealed case of 12 usually changes that math — check the case configuration.

How do I spot a fake Crybaby figure?

Use the widely-documented general checks: verify the official seal or QR through official channels, inspect paint edges and decal sharpness (a 30x loupe helps), compare weight and material feel against a known-genuine figure, check packaging print quality, and treat any price that seems too good as a red flag in itself.

Pop Mart · Crybaby · ranked #5 of 10

Tears Factory

Name: Crybaby Tears Factory
Brand: Pop Mart

Teary-eyed emotional figures — the hobby’s current crossover star.

12 regulars Secret 1/144 classcase of 121/12 per box (even case spread)

Published box ratios — printed per series and wave on official packaging. Always verify on the current packaging before you buy.

85Collect

Quick math — P(at least one secret)

6 boxes

4.1%

12 boxes

8.0%

24 boxes

15%

Full regular set (12 figures) from blind singles: ~37 boxes expected · run your own numbers →

The series file

A flagship series for Pop Mart’s fast-rising Crybaby line. 1/12 per box (even case spread), with the secret tier at 1/144 class — a published box ratio, not a promise; the figure printed on the current wave's packaging is the only one that counts.

Collector notes

Twelve regulars plus one secret in the 1/144 class on the classic format — as always, the ratio printed on the current box is the one that counts.
Crybaby demand grew fast enough that newer waves and fakes hit the market almost together; QR/seal verification through official channels is the first check, not the last.
The glossy tear detail is a paint-quality tell: genuine units have a controlled, raised gloss drop rather than a flat printed shine.

Fake risk

Popular blind-box lines are heavily counterfeited, and the hotter the series the higher the risk. Before paying for any "sealed" unit — especially secondary-market or deep-discount listings — run the general checks: official seal/QR verification, paint and decal quality under magnification, weight and material feel, packaging print quality, and the price-too-good rule. Our guides cover the documented tells per line, and a 30x loupe makes most of them visible.

Real official-channel sealed boxes with verifiable QR/seals · Fake deep-discount "sealed" lots, blurry decals, mushy paint edges.

Shop Crybaby blind boxes →

FAQ

What are the odds of pulling a secret in Crybaby Tears Factory?: The secret sits in the commonly published 1/144 class for this format — roughly a 8.0% chance of at least one secret across 12 boxes. Ratios are printed per series and wave on official packaging, so always verify the ratio on the current box before buying.
How many figures are in the Tears Factory series?: 12 regular figures plus a secret tier. Completing the regular set from blind singles takes about 37 boxes on average (coupon-collector math at even odds); a sealed case of 12 usually changes that math — check the case configuration.
How do I spot a fake Crybaby figure?: Use the widely-documented general checks: verify the official seal or QR through official channels, inspect paint edges and decal sharpness (a 30x loupe helps), compare weight and material feel against a known-genuine figure, check packaging print quality, and treat any price that seems too good as a red flag in itself.